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Non-proliferation vs Realpolitik

A while back Madhoo wrote about people who refuse to live in the present:

…Does it make any sense whatsoever to react to decades-old stuff just because it has just been declassified? Nixon is no more, Indira Gandhi is not alive and Kissinger is in no way involved with the current administration – what is the point on making a big deal about this now?

I think this is what is the problem is with us – living in the past. We refuse to let go of the demons of the past and refuse to look ahead. Every time there is a remote chance of us getting anywhere better, we go into a self-destructive mode and shoot ourselves in the foot. Idiots!

On the other hand, it seems living in the past isn’t the exclusive preserve of the Rediff webmasters but also senior American policymakers:

Rep. Edward J. Markey (D-Mass.) condemned the agreement as a “dangerous proposition and bad nonproliferation policy” and said he will introduce legislation to block it. “We cannot play favorites, breaking the rules of the nonproliferation treaty, to favor one nation at the risk of undermining critical international treaties on nuclear weapons,” he said in a statement. “What will Russia say when they want to supply more nuclear materials or technology to Iran? You can be sure that Pakistan will demand equal treatment.”

Bolton, Bush’s nominee to become U.N. ambassador, argued that such cooperation would mean rewarding a country that built a nuclear weapon in secret, using technology it obtained under the guise of civilian power. Both North Korea and Iran are believed to have tried the same route to develop nuclear weapons. Some within the administration said the deal would be damaging at a time when the United States is trying to ratchet up international pressure on both those countries to give up their nuclear-weapons ambitions.

Non-proliferation made sense in a world where few nations had access to nuclear weapons. In a changed world where ‘responsible’ superpowers ship fissile material to irresponsible anarchies (which then scatter the lethal technology amongst the world’s worst), proliferation is a fait accompli and non-proliferation is a lame duck. Yet the policymakers for whom non-proliferation is an end, not a means to peace continue their sad, irrelevant dance on the DC stage.

What is interesting about non-proliferation is that it has worked for as long as it has: countries like Brazil and South Africa which signed up for the NPT did not do so primarily for the carrot of civilian nuclear tech, rather their national threat perception did not indicate the need for a nuclear deterrent. In the shadow of nuclear China and belligerent Pakistan, India obviously saw things differently.

The fact that the non-proliferation hawks in DC can still talk about ‘favorites’ and ‘breaking the rules [for India]‘, can still equate India with Pakistan and North Korea indicates that they are far more out of touch than the tactless webmasters at Rediff. For the rules have already been broken and the nuclear genie is out of the bottle, and the posession of the genie must today be predicated on a nation’s record rather than its level of technological accomplishment in 1968.

3 Comments

19 July 2005 2:28 pm

3 Responses to “Non-proliferation vs Realpolitik”

  1. AnarCapLib » Barsaat aur blog mela Says:

    [...] Prasenjeet Datta compares non-proliferation with realpolitik. [...]

  2. vkrm Says:

    madhu writes great but hey madhu u missed something yea we should look ahead but definately we should learn from the past and should make sure that what happened in the past should not happen again. We should just forget the past start doin our things..

    Earlier I used to think like you .. whateva happened in the past just forget it and look ahead. I belong to Sikh Religion and I used to think what happened in 1984 was done by some dirty minds and hindus are not that bad.. but now my thinking has changed completely. If you read newspapers and are aware of the Indian Politics today.. You must have seen that these guys haven’t changed. My future is not secure because the country is again backing those who did all this in 1984..

    Now are you saying that I should forget all this. Yeah lady I forgot it but now as a responsible citizen of this country I everyday read newspapers and have seen that my future is not secure.. these guys might do that again what happened in the past.

  3. Gates Says:

    Agreed! We gotta live in the past. We can’t tell what our future holds for us by standing at the altar of the past.

    Bygones are bygones.
    Learn, forget, move.

 

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